The Warriors Odds Of Going 739

As things stand coming out of the All-Star break, the Warriors will probably catch Michael Jordan’s 1995-96 Bulls, which own the record of 72 wins, and are a little better than a coin flip to pass them.Last time we checked in on Golden State’s run to 73 was back in December, when the model gave the Warriors a 54 percent chance of getting at least 72 wins and a 44.1 percent chance of at least 73. A little more than two months later, the Warriors are 48-4 and those chances are 69.8 percent to hit 72 and an even 54 percent to reach 73. From where we sit, at least, the Warriors now appear likely to break the ’96 Bulls’ record. WINSSIMSCHANCE OF EXACTLY THIS MANY WINSCHANCE OF AT LEAST THIS MANY WINS 57880.299.9 593940.899.3 64530.199.9 72785715.769.8 68631712.631.2 591<0.1%100.0% 7112182.43.3 7028075.68.9 676341.398.9 6223724.794.0 64502210.082.2 611<0.1>99.9 75575411.520.9 582030.499.7 The Warriors are shooting 46.3 percent from three on “wide open” (defender more than 6 feet away) threes, best in the league. They also lead the league in “open” threes at 41 percent and “tight” coverage threes at 37.3 percent. They do fall to fourth in “very tight” threes (36.1 percent) but have taken only 36 of those all season. Curry’s 646 3-point attempts last season were more than those Miller and Bird seasons combined — and he’s on pace to demolish that number this year. 6321<0.1>99.9 7632076.49.3 782430.50.5 50,000 CARM-Elo simulations of the Spurs’ season with data through Feb. 18Before Thursday night’s loss, the Spurs’ chance for 70 wins was 19.4 percent. With the loss, it fell to 8.9 — still absurdly high, but well back of the Warriors.Andrew Flowers and Jay Boice contributed research. 723790.80.9 According to nbaminer.com, Curry has scored 10 straight points for his team 10 times, the most in the league (James Harden is second with nine); he’s scored 15 straight team points three times (Harden is second again, two) and 20 straight once (only Paul George has also done that this season). Curry has scored five straight unanswered points 55 times (Harden is second with 47, followed by George and Klay Thompson at 30).2Reggie Jackson is the only player to score 15 unanswered points this season. Only three players have done it since the 1996-7 season — Jackson this year, Jamal Crawford in 2013-14 and Brandon Jennings in 2012-13.Probably the most alarming thing about the Warriors this season is how thoroughly they are outpacing the Spurs, another omega-level team stalking around the league. Also according to nbaminer.com, the Warriors’ average first-quarter margin is +6.04. The Spurs are second at +2.98. The Spurs remain ahead of the Warriors on the overall marks, +12.7 to +12.5, but this difference is more than accounted for in the fourth quarter, where the Warriors are -0.12 and the Spurs are an NBA-best +2.56. The Warriors’ average margin per overtime period is +4.0, best in the league.And here’s the same display of possible records we generated for the Warriors above, but for the Spurs. 71599612.081.7 73855917.154.0 67710514.245.4 50,000 CARM-Elo simulations of the Warriors’ season with data through Feb. 18 5511<0.1100.0 74803116.136.9 542<0.1100.0 (While we’re digging out old charts, get a load of Draymond in these.) 73680.10.1 If the Warriors completely gave up the 3-pointer and shot none of them per game from this point forward, the Timberwolves, who take the fewest threes per game, would need 50 games to catch up in attempts and 83 games to catch up in makes, pulling even right around the 137th game of the season. Steph Curry is 11 for 24 on threes from 30 feet or more, according to nbawowy.com. Six of those shots (and one of the makes) were from beyond half court, meaning he’s 10 for 18 between 30 feet and the center line. (The rest of the Warriors are 1 for 14 from 30-plus.) Consider this a reminder that Ben Morris dug into Steph’s imperious shot selection in December. 7712242.52.9 651380.399.8 625<0.1>99.9 6925855.294.9 In order to match the best 3-point-percentage season of Reggie Miller’s career (42.9 percent), Steph Curry (45.4 percent from three on 10.8 per game) would have to miss 31 straight threes; to match Larry Bird’s best (42.7 percent) he’d need to miss 34 straight; to match LeBron’s mark this season (27.4 percent) he would have to miss 354 straight 3-point shots. 66715314.359.7 Oh, here’s a scatter plot of 3-point attempts vs. 3-point percentage since the 1979-80 season, the first year of the 3-pointer: 532<0.1100.0 This foolishness: The Warriors create 70.4 points per game through assists. The rest of the league has a fairly linear progression from the bottom on up — the Lakers are the worst, at 43.2, and the figure creeps up team by team until it stops with the Hawks, in second place, at 60.3. That isn’t adjusted for tempo (the Warriors play at the second-fastest pace in the league), but the Dubs are also comfortably in first in percentage of passes that are assists, are secondary assists or lead to free throws. 6114502.996.9 WINSSIMSCHANCE OF EXACTLY THIS MANY WINSCHANCE OF AT LEAST THIS MANY WINS 6335447.189.3 65622812.572.1 608091.698.5 56360.1100.0 7040088.089.8 Our colleagues at ESPN Stats & Info once again have a less optimistic outlook, today giving the Warriors a 37 percent chance of hitting 73 or more wins. The explanation for the difference in the two models is the same as it was in December, when we were also more bullish than our colleagues: We devised a different rating system, called CARM-Elo, which allows good (or bad) runs of play in the simulations to inform a team’s simulated strength through the rest of the simulated season. Basically, this means that it allows for extreme performance to be reflected in the results, and the Warriors are certainly extreme.Still, all of the back-and-forth over exactly how good the Warriors are is more than a little backward. Any serious debate over whether Golden State is an all-time team dried up months ago; all that’s left now is the dreary accounting of decimal points next to the team’s name. Screw that. NBA nerds slapfighting over some grandiose meaning of the Warriors is boring — it’s the spectacle that matters, the crossovers and no-looks and nonsense transition threes, and how those feats of skill translate to the stat sheet. That in mind, here’s a bunch of Warriors facts aimed at appreciating the wild mess they’re accomplishing this season, rather than simply measuring it.The Warriors would have to miss their next 545 3-pointers to bring their team mark of 42.4 percent down to the level of the league-worst Lakers, at 31.5 percent. 6813682.797.7 663140.699.6 521<0.1%100.0% 601<0.1>99.9 6947919.618.5 Remember that two-month stretch in the summer of 2009 when Steph Curry might have gone to the Knicks, before Donnie Walsh and Mike D’Antoni went around telling anyone who would stand still long enough to hear it exactly why Curry would be a superstar? And remember how disappointing it was, then, when Curry landed on a Warriors team that didn’t use him at all in the way fans dreamed he might be used by the Pringles ‘stache? Well, Curry found his way into the seven-seconds-or-less offense anyway. By NBA.com’s count (which can lag a game or two behind), the Warriors have taken 299 threes in the first seven seconds of the shot clock and made 48.5 percent of them. The next closest by percentage is Indiana, at 42.5 on 167 attempts; Houston, first in attempts with 301 (in four more games than Golden State) has made 38.9 percent of its own; and the Thunder have found a way to make just 31.6 percent on 171 attempts. On all field goals in the seven-seconds-or-less window,1NBA.com doesn’t have free-throw data for these, for some reason. the Warriors have a 68 percent effective field-goal percentage — the next closest is the Cavs, at 63.4 percent. The Knicks, meanwhile, are last in the league at 51.4 percent. read more

Defense key to Buckeyes success heading into Sweet 16

Coach Jim Foster usually attributed his team’s struggles during conference play to a lack of commitment to defense. Now, in the midst of an impressive 11-game winning streak and an upcoming game against top-seeded Tennessee in the Sweet 16, his team’s commitment to its play on the defensive end has been as key a factor as any. “I think we realize … how good we can be if we play (defense) really well, and then that opens up everything else,” guard Samantha Prahalis said after OSU’s second-round win against fifth-seeded Georgia Tech on Monday. Heading into that game, the Buckeyes were allowing opponents to shoot just 37.8 percent from the floor. During the rough patch of the season where the team lost nine of 15 games, its defense was allowing teams to shoot at a 44.7 percent clip in the losses. In contrast, OSU is shooting 45.6 percent from the field — good for 11th in the country. Its shooting numbers are thanks largely in part to Jantel Lavender, who accounted for 28.8 percent of her team’s field goal attempts while shooting 54.4 percent before Monday’s tournament win. The lowest point of the team’s season came Feb. 6, when the team suffered a 74-68 loss to conference foe Northwestern. It was the team’s ninth loss in 15 contests, and the psychological low point for Foster and his players. After that game, Foster mentioned how disappointed he was in his team’s lack of will, especially defensively. “We let them do what they wanted to do and needed to do, and we didn’t fight through it,” he said. “We aren’t a team that fights through adversity, and that’s how you win games. “Basketball is a game of stops. … In all of these games, there is a point where we just don’t get stops.” He went on to say that although his team was good offensively, it would not turn things around until it did a better job of guarding opponents. And now it has. During its current 11-game winning streak, OSU has clamped down defensively by only allowing opponents to shoot 36.8 percent — a nearly 8 percent decrease from its nine losses between Dec. 11 and Feb. 6. The team’s improved defense has allowed it to pick back up where it left off early in the season when it was ranked as high as No. 6 nationally. Accompanying the 11-game winning streak is a new type of self-confidence that was absent in conference play. “Our confidence level kind of boosted when we won our seventh game, eighth game, ninth, 10th,” Lavender said after her team’s first-round win against Central Florida on Saturday. “We know what we’re capable of doing. We realize who we are now, and everyone’s playing their role and they’re playing their role well.” The Buckeyes will play the Lady Volunteers, led by heralded coach Pat Summitt, in the Sweet 16 at noon Saturday in Dayton, Ohio. Tennessee shoots 47 percent from the floor, good for sixth in the country, and likely is the toughest team the Buckeyes have faced since squaring off against UConn, losing, 81-50, on Dec. 19 in the midst of the Huskies’ all-time record winning streak of 90. read more

Mens Volleyball Ohio State regroups before road trip against No 5 UCLA

Freshman outside hitter Sean Ryan (10) attacking the ball against Loyola on Sunday, Feb. 24, 2019 at St. John Arena in Columbus, Ohio. Credit: Kaycie Golic | For The LanternAfter splitting a home series with McKendree this past weekend, the Ohio State men’s volleyball team heads to Los Angeles having brought back a few key players in preparation for weekend matchups against No. 5 UCLA and No. 11 USC. The Buckeyes (6-12, 2-6 MIVA) enter the road trip having reinserted sophomore outside hitter Jake Hanes into the lineup. Hanes has accrued 47 kills in his first two matches since coming back from injuring his foot in the Jan. 26 match against Ball State. Also back for the Buckeyes are junior setter Andrew Hillman, who returned on Sunday from an injury he sustained in December during training, and sophomore outside hitter Martin Lallemand, who missed Sunday’s match against McKendree due to illness. Ohio State head coach Pete Hanson said trying to find consistency has been extremely difficult with a lineup that seems to change every weekend. “It’s been a real challenge, but I think the guys have handled it as well as they could,” Hanson said. “Not to let them off the hook and say, ‘Hey, it’s a real anomaly,’ but at the same point and time, we’ve also tried to tell them, ‘Hey, there aren’t many teams that are down three or four starters, let alone, sometimes just one starter,’ and that’s what we’ve had to deal with.” Among the starters still injured, junior outside hitter Reese Devilbiss is working through an undisclosed injury, while senior setter Sanil Thomas is working to return to the lineup after injuring his hand in late January. While the Buckeyes have struggled with consistency for much of this season, UCLA (14-4, 6-0 MPSF) has been drowning in it. The Bruins are on a four-match winning streak and their Jan. 19 loss to No. 1 Long Beach State is their only loss at home this season. Junior middle blocker Daenan Gyimah leads the Bruins offensively, totalling 234 points on 190 kills, 17 aces and 48 total blocks. Defensively, senior setter Micah Ma’a is a top contributor, providing 129 digs and 35 total blocks in support. On the other hand, USC (9-7, 3-3 MPSF) has had an up-and-down season thus far. After opening the year with a 7-4 record, three-straight losses to then-No. 9 Stanford, then-No. 8 BYU and then-No. 6 UCLA brought the Trojans even before winning their past two matches against Concordia and then-No. 4 Pepperdine. The Trojans are led by redshirt senior outside hitter Jack Wyett with 181 kills, adding 10 aces and 44 digs. Senior Ryan Moss leads the team defensively with 34 total blocks and 76 digs. Ohio State is hoping the offensive production from Hanes and Lallemand, with 180 kills and 137 kills, respectively, can power the Buckeyes to a couple of road victories. But to have success, they’ll have to get used to being set by Hillman, who has taken over as Ohio State’s full-time setter in the absence of Thomas. Despite the tough competition and the constant lineup changes, Hillman said the team will be ready to play this weekend. “We’re excited,” Hillman said. “We really have nothing to lose right now. We’re going to go out there and play as hard as we can.” Ohio State will face No. 5 UCLA at 8 p.m. Friday and No. 11 USC at 11 p.m. Saturday in Los Angeles. read more

Lacazette reveals Griezmann friendship

first_imgThings are looking set to heat up for both Alexandre Lacazette and Antoine Griezmann over the coming week with the two friends set to face each other for their respective clubs in the semi-finals of the Europa LeagueThe France internationals will line up at the Emirates, as Arsenal host Atletico Madrid for the first leg of their semi-final tie in the Europa League on Thursday.While they will be rivals during the semi-final encounter, Lacazette has revealed that their bond has been around for a decade already.“Griezzy is a very good player who I met nearly 10 years ago now,” Lacazette told the club website.Jadon SanchoMerson believes Arsenal should sign Sancho Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho might be the perfect player to play for the Gunners, according to former England international Paul Merson.“We developed a strong bond and we see each other every year, either on national duty or elsewhere. We get on really well.“You can’t really explain why you get on well with someone. It’s instinctive. Perhaps we share the same values and the same jokes.“We laugh a lot. We like to, quote-unquote, poke fun at people but always respectfully and in a kind manner. We are both jokers. We talk about our current lives and our families. Normal stuff.“In everyday life, we both have a laugh, we are always pretty lively. And for faults, I would say that he would stress that I like to relax and I’m very slow on the uptake, quote-unquote!”last_img read more

Pelligrini keen on signing Wilshere for West Ham

first_imgNew West Ham manager Manuel Pellegrini has now set his sights on Jack Wilshere for a summer move,  reports the Daily StarThe English midfielder’s contract at Arsenal expires this month and it remains to be seen whether he will be retained by the newly-appointed head coach Unai Emery.After being announced as David Moyes’ replacement at the London Stadium for next season, Pellegrini has reportedly begun monitoring Wilshere’s uncertain future at Arsenal and is keen on making an attempt to sign him.Jadon SanchoMerson believes Arsenal should sign Sancho Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Borussia Dortmund winger Jadon Sancho might be the perfect player to play for the Gunners, according to former England international Paul Merson.The Chilean is a known long-term admirer of the 26-year-old’s and had been interested in signing him during his time in charge at Manchester City.Wilshere is currently aware on holiday after being omitted from Gareth Southgate’s final 23-man England squad for the World Cup in Russia after a set of recurring ankle injuries ultimately cost him the chance to earn a place in the team.However, Wilshere did make 38 appearances in all competitions for Arsenal this season after enduring a difficult couple of years struggling for regular minutes due to his constant injury setbacks.last_img read more

Gattuso AC Milan need to step up their game

first_imgAC Milan boss Gennaro Gattuso admits they will have to be back to their best ahead of Saturday’s game against FiorentinaThe Rossoneri haven’t won their last three games and were knocked out of the Europa League following a surprise 3-1 defeat to Olympiacos.Despite the struggles though, Milan remain in fourth-place in the Serie A and Gattuso hopes his players are ready to step up their efforts to consolidate a Champions League qualification spot.“The club wants to reach the Champions League, it will not be easy but we will do our best,” said Gattuso on the club website.“Now we are in fourth place though we have to do more, but I am calm. We have to make fewer mistakes.“We do not look for excuses, we have to keep working and improving. We lost some important points but our opponents also slowed down.Serie A, Gian Piero GasperiniGasperini reveals why he rejected Inter Manuel R. Medina – September 14, 2019 Atalanta manager, Gian Piero Gasperini, has revealed why he rejected Internazionale Milan’s job proposal over the summer transfer window.“We have some strengths and weaknesses and we have to be careful. I enjoy training people with passion and flair in their eyes, who have the spirit of football within them, whether they are young or old”.Facing Milan at the San Siro are Fiorentina, who sit 10th in the standings and just five points behind.“Tomorrow we will play against a strong opponent, who can hurt us in attack. Fiorentina are a team with very good players technically, playing within 60-70 meters,” said Gattuso.“We will have to be good at imposing our game, not giving an inch on the pitch. I want to see a team that plays well and with vehemence: only in this way will we be able to win.“Bologna has taught us that making a sterile ball possession leads to nothing”The Milan-Fiorentina game will begin at 15:00 (CET).last_img read more

Tis The Season For The KPBSD Winter Concert Series

first_imgFacebook0TwitterEmailPrintFriendly分享You can tell winter by calendar, by temperature, or by concert season, so if the days are getting shorter and the mornings chillier, it is time to think about the Kenai Peninsula Borough School District Winter Programs. AURORA BOREALIS CHARTER SCHOOL – December 4, 6:00 p.m., Christmas Concert, KCHS AuditoriumCOOPER LANDING SCHOOL – December 14, 5:30 p.m., Christmas Program with Potluck DinnerHOMER HIGH SCHOOL – December 17, 7:00 pm, Winter Concert, Mariner Theater; December 19, 7:00 pm, Candlelight Carols & Desserts, Mariner TheaterHOMER MIDDLE SCHOOL – December 13, 7:00 p.m, Winter Concert, Homer High Mariner TheaterHOPE SCHOOL – December 8, 5:00 p.m., Holiday Community Carnival; December 19, 6:00 p.m, Student ConcertK-BEACH ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 11, 6:30 p.m., K-2 Christmas Concert, Soldotna High Auditorium; December 18, 6:30 p.m., Winter Band Concert, K-Beach GymKALEIDOSCOPE SCHOOL OF ARTS & SCIENCE CHARTER SCHOOL – December 13, 6:00 p.m., Winter Concert, Kenai Central High School; December 18, 6:00 p.m., Band Concert 4-5 Grade, Kaleidoscope GymKENAI CENTRAL HIGH SCHOOL – December 11, 7:00 p.m., Dessert Auction and Holiday Concert featuring the KMS Concert & Intermediate Band, KCHS Concert & Jazz Band, KCHS Auditorium; December 16, 3:00 p.m., Holiday Choir Concert, KCHS AuditoriumKENAI MIDDLE SCHOOL – December 6, 7:00 p.m., Winter Choir Concert, KCHS Auditorium; December 11, 7:00 p.m., Dessert Auction and Holiday Concert featuring the KMS Concert & Intermediate Band, KCHS Concert & Jazz Band, KCHS AuditoriumMCNEIL CANYON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 6, 6:30 p.m., Winter Concert, McNeil Canyon GymMOOSE PASS SCHOOL – December 7, 7:00 p.m., Music ProgramMOUNTAIN VIEW ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 10, 6:00 p.m., Band Concert, Gym; December 17, 6:00 p.m., Winter Concert Grades 1-3, KCHS AuditoriumNANWALEK SCHOOL – January 3, 1:00 p.m., Nanwalek Christmas ProgramNIKISKI MIDDLE-HIGH SCHOOL – December 4, 7:00 p.m., AuditoriumNIKISKI NORTH STAR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 6, 6:00 p.m., Kindergarten Winter Concert, NNS Gym; December 6, 6:45 p.m., Concert and Modern Band Winter Concert, NNS Gym; December 11, 6:00 p.m., Christmas Concert Grades 1-2, NMHS AuditoriumPAUL BANKS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 11, 12:30 p.m., Winter Program, Homer High Mariner TheatrePORT GRAHAM SCHOOL – December 21, 2:00 p.m., Port Graham Christmas Caroling ProgramREDOUBT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 6, 6:00 p.m., Winter Concert Grades 1-2-3, Soldotna High Auditorium; December 11, 6:00 p.m., Winter Band Concert, Redoubt GymSEWARD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 18, 7 p.m., Swing Holiday ProgramSEWARD HIGH SCHOOL – January 14, 6:30 p.m., Music Collective Winter ConcertSKYVIEW MIDDLE SCHOOL – December 13, 7:00 p.m., Winter Concert Band, Choir, DrumlineSOLDOTNA ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 4, 6:30 p.m., Christmas Concert, Soldotna High Audtitorium; December 18, 6:00 p.m., Band & Choir Concert (SOEL and SMCS), Soldotna Elementary GymSOLDOTNA HIGH SCHOOL – December 18, 7:00 p.m., Band, CHoir, Jazz, Swing Choir, Soldotna High AuditoriumSOLDOTNA MONTESSORI CHARTER SCHOOL – December 3, 6:30 p.m., Winter Concert Grades K-6, Soldotna High Auditorium; December 18, 6:00 p.m., Band & Choir Concert (SOEL and SMCS), Soldotna Elementary GymSTERLING ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 6, 6:00 p.m., Winter Concert Grades K-3; December 11, 6:00 p.m., Winter Concert Grades 4-6 and bandSUSAN B. ENGLISH SCHOOL – December 13, 6:00 p.m., Winter Concert Grades K-12TEBUGHNA SCHOOL – December 18, 2:00 p.m.,  Holiday ProgramWEST HOMER ELEMENTARY SCHOOL – December 4, 12:30 p.m., Christmas Program, Homer High Mariner Theater Pegge Erkeneff Communications Liaison for KPBSD: “Take a break and get into the holiday spirit. You can also see the talent that we have using music as learning and in the arts at our schools.”  To find the full schedule, click here: KPBSD Winter Concerts and Music Programs. There are 29 schools in the district that are hosting some time of concert or Christmas program throughout the holiday season.last_img read more